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- Vol 6 RE: Chapters 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 10, 11, 14, App D, App E
strategic foresightalternative futuresschooling scenariosscenario planningeducation governanceprofessional rolespublic purposeuncertainty managementReport Evidence summaryAt a glance
This OECD report uses strategic foresight to help education communities question assumptions and test plans against alternative futures. Its four scenarios to approximately 2040 are not predictions or recommendations.
Key ideas
“Schooling extended” retains mass institutions and credentials; “education outsourced” expands diverse private and community provision; “schools as learning hubs” strengthens local, networked public institutions; and “learn-as-you-go” dissolves boundaries between formal and informal learning through pervasive technology and data. Each scenario combines plausible drivers and exposes trade-offs concerning equity, professional roles, governance, curriculum, certification, public purpose, and digital dependence. The report proposes using scenarios to identify signals, stress-test existing strategies, surface preferred futures, and choose actions robust across uncertainty. It explicitly resists selecting one ideal model.
Why it matters
For educators and policy makers, the value lies in disciplined conversation: distinguish hopes from forecasts, consider who gains or loses in each future, examine capacity and safeguards, and use the resulting insights to shape present decisions rather than wait for change to arrive.
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What it contributes
Evidence summaries explain the central idea and why the source matters to educators.
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Edition abbreviations
- TE
- Teacher Edition
- PE
- Practice Edition
- RE
- Research Edition
Citation checks
References are checked against publisher records, scholarly indexes, DOI or ISBN metadata, repositories and author records where available. An entry marked [Citation not verified] preserves the wording found in the relevant volume without attributing findings to an unconfirmed work.
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